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Diabetes Care, Vol 20, Issue 8 1273-1278, Copyright © 1997 by American Diabetes Association
Independent physiological predictors of foot lesions in patients with NIDDM
DK Litzelman, DJ Marriott and F Vinicor
Health Services Research and Development Service, Richard L. Roudebush Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA. debbiel@medwish.dmed.iupui.edu
OBJECTIVE: To identify and quantify independent physiological risk factors
for foot lesions in diabetic patients. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: There
were 352 patients enrolled in a 1-year randomized controlled trial aimed at
reducing risks for lower-extremity pathology through patient education and
system interventions. Inclusion criteria were as follows: being age 40
years or over, being at or above ideal body weight, and having been
diagnosed with NIDDM. Participants were predominantly African-American
(76%), elderly (mean 60 years of age), indigent (77% with annual income
< +10,000), or women (81%) who had diabetes for 10 years. Prospective
multivariate modeling used baseline clinical signs (e.g., blood pressure,
dermatological characteristics, and neuropathic measures) and laboratory
values (e.g., lipid profiles and measures of glycemic control) to predict
foot lesions rated using the Seattle Wound Classification. RESULTS: When
controlling for intervention effects, only measures of neuropathy
(monofilament testing [odds ratio ?OR? 2.75, 95% CI 1.55-4.88] and thermal
sensitivity testing [2.18, 1.13-4.21]) predicted wounds classified 1.2
(minor injury), but investigation of wounds rated at least 1.3
(nonulcerated lesions) indicated baseline wounds (13.41), 3.19-56.26),
monofilament abnormalities (5.23, 2.26-12.13), and low HDL (1.63,
1.11-2.39) as predictors. Although fungal dermatitis, dry cracked skin,
edema, ingrown nails, microalbuminuria, fasting blood glucose, and
hemoglobin A1c were candidates for one or both of the multivariable models
(P < 0.3), they were not significant multivariate predictors.
CONCLUSIONS: Lesions may be preventable with aggressive screening for
peripheral neuropathy and abnormal lipids. Also, these results provide
empirical support for the commonly held belief that foot lesions
prospectively predict future wounds.

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Copyright © 1997 by the American Diabetes Association.
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