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Utility of Casual Postprandial Glucose Levels in Type 2 Diabetes Management

From the Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia

Address correspondence and reprint requests to Imad M. El-Kebbi, MD, Emory University School of Medicine, Diabetes Unit, 69 Jesse Hill Jr Dr, SE, Atlanta, GA 30303. E-mail: ielkebb{at}emory.edu

OBJECTIVE—Because readily available glycemic indicators are needed to guide clinical decision-making for intensification of diabetes therapy, our goals were to define the relationship between casual postprandial plasma glucose (cPPG) levels and HbA_1c in patients with type 2 diabetes and to determine the predictive characteristics of a convenient glucose cutoff.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS—We examined the relationship between cPPG levels (1–4 h post meal) and HbA_1c levels in 1,827 unique patients who had both determinations during a single office visit.

RESULTS—The population studied was predominantly African American and middle-aged, with average cPPG of 201 mg/dl and HbA_1c of 8.4%. The prevalence of HbA_1c 7.0% was 67% and HbA_1c >6.5% was 77%. Overall, cPPG and HbA_1c were linearly correlated (r = 0.63, P < 0.001). The correlation between cPPG and HbA_1c was strongest in patients treated with diet alone (n = 348, r = 0.75, P < 0.001) and weaker but still highly significant for patients treated with oral agents (n = 610, r = 0.64, P < 0.001) or insulin (n = 869, r = 0.56, P < 0.001). A cutoff cPPG >150 mg/dl predicted an HbA_1c level 7.0% in the whole group, with a sensitivity of 78%, a specificity of 62%, and an 80% positive predictive value. The same cPPG cutoff of 150 mg/dl predicted an HbA_1c level >6.5%, with a sensitivity of 74%, a specificity of 66%, and an 88% positive predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS—When rapid-turnaround HbA_1c determinations are not available, a single cPPG level >150 mg/dl may be used during a clinic visit to identify most inadequately controlled patients and allow timely intensification of therapy.

Abbreviations: cPPG, casual postprandial plasma glucose • ROC, receiver operating characteristic

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