© 2005 by the American Diabetes Association, Inc.
The Prevalence of the Metabolic Syndrome Did Not Increase in Mexico City Between 19901992 and 19971999 Despite More Central Obesity
1 Department of Clinical Epidemiology, University of Texas Heath Science Center, San Antonio, Texas Address correspondencereprint requests to Carlos Lorenzo, MD, Department of Medicine, Division of Clinical Epidemiology, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, 7703 Floyd Curl Dr., San Antonio, TX 78284-7873. E-mail: lorenzo{at}uthscsa.edu OBJECTIVETrends in the metabolic syndrome might follow trends in obesity. We examined this hypothesis in the Mexico City Diabetes Study (MCDS), a study that showed rising trends in obesity, and the effect of the metabolic syndrome on the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSDesigned as a population-based study, the MCDS enrolled subjects in 19901992 (n = 2,282). Follow-up visits were held in 19931995 (n = 1,764) and 19971999 (n = 1,754). We used the revised metabolic syndrome definition of the National Cholesterol Education Program and the Framingham equations to estimate the 10-year CHD risk. RESULTSIn men, the age-adjusted prevalence of the metabolic syndrome was 38.9% in 19901992, 43.4% in 19931995, and 39.9% in 19971999; in women, the prevalences were 65.4, 65.7, and 59.9%, respectively. The prevalence did not change in men (P = 0.349) between 19901992 and 19971999, but decreased in women (P < 0.001). A prevalence increase was demonstrated for elevated waist circumference (men, P < 0.001; women, P < 0.050), elevated fasting glucose value (men and women, P < 0.001), and low HDL cholesterol level (men, P < 0.050; women, P < 0.010); a prevalence decrease was seen for high blood pressure (men and women, P < 0.001) and hypertriglyceridemia (men, P < 0.001; women, P < 0.010). CHD risk decreased marginally in men (P < 0.050) but did not change in women (P = 0.943). CONCLUSIONSNeither the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome nor CHD risk has increased in Mexico City. Lower blood pressure and triglyceride values appear to have counteracted increases in central obesity and fasting glucose.
Abbreviations: CHD, coronary heart disease MCDS, Mexico City Diabetes Study NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
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