DOI: 10.2337/dc06-0749 © 2006 by the American Diabetes Association
Accuracy and Predictive Value of Classification Schemes for Ketosis-Prone Diabetes
1 Translational Metabolism Unit, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas Address correspondence and reprint requests to Mario Maldonado, MD, Translational Metabolism Unit, Baylor College of Medicine, One Baylor Plaza, Room 520 N, Houston, TX 77030. E-mail: mrmaldonado{at}pol.net OBJECTIVEKetosis-prone diabetes (KPD) is an emerging, heterogeneous syndrome. A sound classification scheme for KPD is essential to guide clinical practice and pathophysiologic studies. Four schemes have been used and are based on immunologic criteria, immunologic criteria and insulin requirement, BMI, and immunologic criteria and ß-cell function (Aß classification). The aim of the present study is to compare the four schemes for accuracy and predictive value in determining whether KPD patients have absent or preserved ß-cell function, which is a strong determinant of long-term insulin dependence and clinical phenotype.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSConsecutive patients (n = 294) presenting with diabetic ketoacidosis and followed for 1260 months were classified according to all four schemes. They were evaluated longitudinally for ß-cell autoimmunity, clinical and biochemical features, ß-cell function, and insulin dependence. ß-Cell function was defined by peak plasma C-peptide response to glucagon RESULTSThe "Aß" classification scheme was the most accurate overall, with a sensitivity and specificity of 99.4 and 95.9%, respectively, positive and negative likelihood ratios of 24.55 and 0.01, respectively, and an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.972. CONCLUSIONSThe Aß scheme has the highest accuracy and predictive value in classifying KPD patients with regard to clinical outcomes and pathophysiologic subtypes.
Abbreviations: ADA, American Diabetes Association AUC, area under the curve DKA, diabetic ketoacidosis GAD, glutamic acid decarboxylase KPD, ketosis-prone diabetes KDP-ID, KPDinsulin dependent KDP-NID, KDPnoninsulin dependent LR, likelihood ratio PPV, positive predictive value NPV, negative predictive value ROC, receiver operating characteristic
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