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Diabetes Care 28:500, 2005
© 2005 by the American Diabetes Association, Inc.

Letters: Comments and Responses

Guidelines for Computer Modeling of Diabetes and Its Complications

Response to American Diabetes Association Consensus Panel

Adrian Bagust, BSC1 and Philip McEwan, BA, PHD2

1 Economics Division, University of Liverpool Management School, Liverpool, U.K
2 School of Mathematics, Cardiff University, Cardiff, U.K

Address correspondence to Prof. A. Bagust, Economics Division, University of Liverpool Management School, Chatham Street, Liverpool, U.K. L69 7ZH . E-mail: a.bagust@liv.ac.uk

The first 20% of the full text of this article appears below.

The ADA consensus panel guidelines for computer modeling (1) may create a misleading and unduly optimistic view of modeling for general readers. Repeated use of the terms "accurate" and "reliable" suggests that models are capable of generating precise predictions of long-term clinical outcomes and costs. Sadly, models do no more than encompass our current understanding (and ignorance) of a disease, its treatment , and its natural history. Despite powerful computers and sophisticated software, no model generates new data—it merely combines existing findings within a . . . [Full Text of this Article]


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Copyright © 2005 by the American Diabetes Association.