Survival in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes in a Swedish Community
Skaraborg Hypertension and Diabetes Project
- Carl Johan Östgren, MD12,
- Ulf Lindblad, MD, PHD13,
- Arne Melander, MD, PHD14 and
- Lennart Råstam, MD, PHD15
- 1Department of Community Medicine, Malmö University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden
- 2Ödeshög Health Care Centre, Sweden
- 3Skaraborg Institute, Skövde, Sweden
- 4NEPI Foundation (the Swedish Network for Pharmacoepidemiology), Malmö, Sweden
- 5National Public Health Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract
OBJECTIVE—To explore risk factors for all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes treated in primary care.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS—A prospective population-based study of 400 patients with type 2 diabetes who consecutively completed an annual checkup in primary care in Skara, Sweden, during 1992–1993. Vital status was ascertained to year 2000. Baseline characteristics as predictors for mortality were analyzed by Cox regression and expressed as relative risks (RRs), with 95% CIs.
RESULTS—During a mean follow-up time of 5.9 years, 131 patients died (56 deaths per 1,000 patients per year). In both sexes, all-cause mortality was predicted by HbA1c (by 1%; RR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01–1.27), and by LDL-to-HDL cholesterol ratios (1.15, 1.00–1.32). Increased mortality was also seen with prevalent hypertension (1.72, 1.21–2.44), microalbuminuria (1.87, 1.27–2.76), and previous cardiovascular disease (1.70, 1.15–2.50). Subanalyses revealed that increased mortality related to HbA1c was restricted to hypertensive patients with type 2 diabetes (1.23, 1.04–1.47). Serum triglycerides (by 1 mmol/l) predicted all-cause mortality in women (1.25, 1.06–1.47).
CONCLUSIONS—Poor glucose and lipid control and hypertension predicted all-cause mortality. Survival was also predicted by prevalent microalbuminuria and by previous cardiovascular disease. Confirming results from clinical trials, this population-based study has implications for primary and secondary prevention.
- RR, relative risk
- RRadj, age- and sex-adjusted RR
- UKPDS, U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study
- WHR, waist-to-hip ratio
Footnotes
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Address correspondence and reprint requests to Ulf Lindblad, Department of Community Medicine, Malmö University Hospital, S-205 02 Malmö, Sweden. E-mail: ulf.lindblad{at}smi.mas.lu.se.
Received for publication 22 November 2001 and accepted in revised form 17 April 2002.
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