Factors Affecting Progression of Renal Failure in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes
- Hideki Ueda, MD1,
- Eiji Ishimura, MD2,
- Tetsuo Shoji, MD1,
- Masanori Emoto, MD1,
- Tomoaki Morioka, MD1,
- Naoki Matsumoto, MD1,
- Shinya Fukumoto, MD1,
- Takami Miki, MD3,
- Masaaki Inaba, MD1 and
- Yoshiki Nishizawa, MD1
- 1Department of Metabolism, Endocrinology, and Molecular Medicine, Osaka City University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
- 2Department of Nephrology, Osaka City University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
- 3Department of Geriatrics, Osaka City University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan
Abstract
OBJECTIVE—Hyperglycemia and hypertension are known to be risk factors for the development of proteinuria in patients with diabetes. Little is known, however, about predictors of progression of renal failure in diabetic patients.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS—We investigated factors affecting progression of renal failure by measuring the doubling of serum creatinine (s-Cr) as an end point in a cohort of 85 type 2 diabetic patients with chronic renal insufficiency/failure (s-Cr >1.5 and <3.7 mg/dl, 61 ± 11 years old, 51 men and 34 women, mean s-Cr 2.3 ± 0.6 mg/dl).
RESULTS—The survey period (mean ± SD) was 14.2 ± 10.8 months. The cumulative incidence of the end point in patients with insulin therapy (n = 41) was significantly lower than that in patients without it (n = 44) (P = 0.0022, P values by log-rank test). Multivariate Cox analysis revealed insulin therapy (hazard ratio [HR] 0.435, 95% CI 0.252–0.750, P = 0.0027), serum albumin (0.484, 284–0.823, P = 0.0074), mean blood pressure (1.023, 1.004–1.043, P = 0.017), and hemoglobin (0.841, 0.728–0.972, P = 0.0194) to be independent and significant predictors of progression to renal failure, whereas HbA1c or serum cholesterol were not.
CONCLUSION—In type 2 diabetic patients with renal failure, hypoalbuminemia, anemia, higher mean blood pressure, and lack of use of insulin predict rapid progression of renal failure, but HbA1c does not, and insulin therapy may be possibly an indicator of the delay in progression of renal failure.
- GFR, glomerular filtration rate
- HR, hazard ratio
- s-Cr, serum creatinine
- TNF-α, tumor necrosis factor-α
Footnotes
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Address correspondence and reprint requests to Eiji Ishimura, MD, Department of Nephrology, Osaka City University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-4-3, Asahi-machi, Abeno-ku, Osaka 545-8585, Japan. E-mail: ish{at}med.osaka-cu.ac.jp.
Received for publication 11 September 2002 and accepted in revised form 3 February 2003.
A table elsewhere in this issue shows conventional and Système International (SI) units and conversion factors for many substances.
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