Moderate Alcohol Consumption Lowers the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes
A meta-analysis of prospective observational studies
- Lando L.J. Koppes, PHD12,
- Jacqueline M. Dekker, PHD1,
- Henk F.J. Hendriks, PHD3,
- Lex M. Bouter, PHD1 and
- Robert J. Heine, MD, PHD14
- 1Institute for Research in Extramural Medicine (EMGO Institute), VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
- 2Department of Public and Occupational Health, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
- 3Department of Nutritional Physiology, TNO Nutrition and Food Research, Zeist, the Netherlands
- 4Department of Endocrinology, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
- Address correspondence and reprint requests to Lando L.J. Koppes, PhD, VU University Medical Center, EMGO Institute, Van der Boechorststraat 7, 1081 BT Amsterdam, Netherlands. E-mail: l.koppes{at}vumc.nl
Abstract
OBJECTIVE—This meta-analysis was undertaken to obtain insight regarding the shape and strength of the relationship between alcohol consumption and the risk of type 2 diabetes, the effects of adjustment for confounders, and the effect of modification by type 2 diabetes definition, sex, and BMI.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS—The 15 original prospective cohort studies that were included comprise 11,959 incident cases of type 2 diabetes in 369,862 individuals who, on average, were followed for 12 years.
RESULTS—After pooling the data, a U-shaped relationship was found. Compared with nonconsumers, the relative risk (RR) for type 2 diabetes in those who consumed ≤6 g/day alcohol was 0.87 (95% CI 0.79–0.95). For the moderate consumption ranges of 6–12, 12–24, and 24–48 g/day, RRs of 0.70 (0.61–0.79), 0.69 (0.58–0.81), and 0.72 (0.62–0.84) were found, respectively. The risk of type 2 diabetes in heavy drinkers (≥48 g/day) was equal to that in nonconsumers (1.04 [0.84–1.29]). In general, nonsignificant trends for larger RR reduction associated with moderate alcohol consumption were observed for women compared with men, for crude compared with multivariate-adjusted analyses, and for studies that used self-reports instead of testing for type 2 diabetes definition. No differences in RR reductions were found between individuals with low or high BMI.
CONCLUSIONS—The present evidence from observational studies suggests an ∼30% reduced risk of type 2 diabetes in moderate alcohol consumers, whereas no risk reduction is observed in consumers of ≥48 g/day.
Footnotes
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- Accepted November 8, 2004.
- Received July 30, 2004.
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