Global Prevalence of Diabetes
Estimates for the year 2000 and projections for 2030
Article Figures & Tables
Figures
- Figure 1—
Global diabetes prevalence by age and sex for 2000.
- Figure 2—
Estimated number of adults with diabetes by age-group, year, and countries for the developed and developing categories and for the world.
Tables
- Table 1—
List of diabetes prevalence studies by country of study giving sample size, age-group, and the countries to which the data were extrapolated
Country of study, year, and reference* Sample size Age-group (years) Additional countries that estimates were applied to Australia, 2000 (21)† 11,247 ≥25 New Zealand Bolivia, 1998 (22)† 2,948 ≥20 Ecuador, Peru Brazil, 1988/1989 (23)† 2,051 30–69 Argentina, Chile, Cuba, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela Cameroon, published 1997 (24)† 1,767 24–74 Angola, Central African Republic, Congo, Gabon, Guinea, Sao Tome, and Principe China, 1994 (4)†‡ 224,251 25–64 North Korea/Democratic People’s Republic of Korea‡ Colombia, 1988/1989 (25) 670 ≥30 Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Fiji, 1980 (26)‡ 1,709 ≥20 Kiribati‡, Marshall Islands‡, Micronesia (Federated States)‡, Palau‡, Papua New Guinea‡, Solomon Islands‡, Vanuatu‡ Ghana, 1998 (27)† 4,733 ≥25 Benin, Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, Chad, Cote d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, Guinea Bissau, Gambia, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo India, 2000 (28)† 11,216 ≥20 Bangladesh, Bhutan, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Nepal Iran, 1999/2000 (29)† 9,229 ≥20 Azerbaijan, Iraq, Yemen Israel (30)†‡ 1,502 25–64 Japan Funagata, 1990–1992 (31)† 2,624 ≥40 Jordan (32)† 2,836 ≥25 Syria, urban Egypt Lebanon†§ 2,518 ≥30 Malta (33)† 2,149 ≥15 Mauritius (34)†‡ 4,929 25–74 Seychelles Mongolia (35)†‡ 2,449 ≥35 Nauru (36)†‡ 1,546 ≥20 Netherlands, 1989–1992 (37)† 2,484 50–74 Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Luxembourg, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, U.K. Oman, 1991 (38) 2,963 ≥20 Qatar Pakistan: rural Baluchistan (39)† 570 ≥25 Afghanistan Pakistan: Sindh, 1994 (40) 967 ≥25 Paraguay, 1991/1992 (41)† 1,606 urban white Hispanic 20–74 Suriname Poland¶ 2,523 25–74 Bosnia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Ukraine Russia‖ 1,602 25–64 Samoa (42)†‡ 1,772 25–74 Cook Islands‡, Niue‡, Tonga‡, Tuvalu‡ Saudi Arabia (43)†‡ 25,337 2–77 Bahrain‡, Kuwait‡ Singapore (44)†‡ 3,568 18–69 Brunei‡, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand South Africa (45)† 729 ≥30 Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, Swaziland, Zimbabwe South Korea/Republic of Korea (46)† 2,520 ≥30 Spain (47)† 2,214 30–89 Andorra, Italy, Monaco, San Marino, Portugal Sudan (48)† 1,284 ≥25 Eritrea, Ethiopia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger Tanzania, 1996/1997 (5)† 1,698 ≥15 Burundi, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Rwanda, Somalia, Uganda, Zambia Trinidad, 1977–1981 (49) 2,315 35–69 Antigua and Barbuda‡, Bahamas‡, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Grenada‡, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, St. Kitts and Nevis‡, St. Lucia‡, St. Vincent and the Grenadines‡ Tunisia, 1976/1977, 1980/1981 (50) 3,826 urban ≥20 Algeria, Libya, Morocco 1,787 rural Turkey (51)† 24,788 ≥20 Albania, Belarus, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Greece, Moldova, Romania United Arab Emirates, 2000†‡# 5,844 ≥19 U.S., 1988–1994 (52)† 2,844 40–74 Canada Uzbekistan, 1996 (53)‡ 1,956 ≥35 Armenia‡, Georgia‡, Kazakhstan‡, Kyrgyzstan‡, Tajikistan‡, Turkmenistan‡ Vietnam†** 1,121 ≥25 Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar - *
↵* Year indicates year of study, if given, or year of publication.
- †
↵† Indicates data that were not used in estimates for 1990.
- ‡
↵‡ Indicates same diabetes prevalence data used for urban and rural populations.
- §
↵§ I. Salti, M. Khogali, S. Alam, N. Nassar, A. Masri, personal communication.
- ‖
↵‖ E. Shubnikov, personal communication.
- ¶
↵¶ Z. Szybinski, W. Zukowski, R. Rita, J. Sieradzki, I. Turska-Karbowska, M. Gizler, personal communication.
- #
↵# M. Malik, A. Bakir, B. Abi Saab, G.R., H.K., personal communication.
- **
↵** P. Khi, personal communication.
- *
- Table 2—
Estimated numbers of people with diabetes by region for 2000 and 2030 and summary of population changes
Region (all ages) 2000 2030 2000–2030 Number of people with diabetes Number of people with diabetes Percentage of change in number of people with diabetes* Percentage of change in total population* Percentage of change in population >65 years of age* Percentage of change in urban population* Established market economies 44,268 68,156 54 9 80 N/A Former socialist economies 11,665 13,960 20 −14 42 N/A India 31,705 79,441 151 40 168 101 China 20,757 42,321 104 16 168 115 Other Asia and Islands 22,328 58,109 148 42 198 91 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,146 18,645 161 97 147 192 Latin America and the Caribbean 13,307 32,959 148 40 194 56 Middle Eastern Crescent 20,051 52,794 163 67 194 94 World 171,228 366,212 114 37 134 61 - *
↵* A positive value indicates an increase, a negative value indicates a decrease.
- *
- Table 3—
List of countries with the highest numbers of estimated cases of diabetes for 2000 and 2030
Ranking 2000 2030 Country People with diabetes (millions) Country People with diabetes (millions) 1 India 31.7 India 79.4 2 China 20.8 China 42.3 3 U.S. 17.7 U.S. 30.3 4 Indonesia 8.4 Indonesia 21.3 5 Japan 6.8 Pakistan 13.9 6 Pakistan 5.2 Brazil 11.3 7 Russian Federation 4.6 Bangladesh 11.1 8 Brazil 4.6 Japan 8.9 9 Italy 4.3 Philippines 7.8 10 Bangladesh 3.2 Egypt 6.7
