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Cardiovascular Disease and Diabetes

Cardiovascular Risk Factor Targets and Cardiovascular Disease Event Risk in Diabetes: A Pooling Project of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Jackson Heart Study

  1. Nathan D. Wong1,2⇑,
  2. Yanglu Zhao1,2,
  3. Rohini Patel1,
  4. Christopher Patao1,
  5. Shaista Malik1,
  6. Alain G. Bertoni3,
  7. Adolfo Correa4,
  8. Aaron R. Folsom5,
  9. Sumesh Kachroo6,
  10. Jayanti Mukherjee6,
  11. Herman Taylor4 and
  12. Elizabeth Selvin7
  1. 1Heart Disease Prevention Program, Division of Cardiology, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA
  2. 2Department of Epidemiology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA
  3. 3Department of Epidemiology & Prevention, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC
  4. 4Department of Medicine, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS
  5. 5Division of Epidemiology & Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
  6. 6Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Wallingford, CT
  7. 7Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
  1. Corresponding author: Nathan D. Wong, ndwong{at}uci.edu.
Diabetes Care 2016 May; 39(5): 668-676. https://doi.org/10.2337/dc15-2439
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    Figure 1

    Unadjusted CVD and CHD event rates per 1,000 person-years for subjects with DM, by status of being at target level for individual risk factors BP, LDL-C, and HbA1c (A) and by the number of risk factors at target levels (B). BP target <130/80 mmHg; LDL-C target <2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL); HbA1c target <53.0 mmol/mol (7%).

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  • Table 1

    Characteristics of all participants with diagnosed DM and no CVD at baseline in the individual parent cohort studies and in the pooled sample

    ARIC studyMESAJHSAll 3 studies pooled
    DM8257404532,018
    Age (years)58.5 ± 5.766.2 ± 9.553.6 ± 10.760.1 ± 9.7
    Age range (years)47–6946–8628–8228–86
    Male sex355 (43.0%)372 (50.3%)143 (31.6%)870 (43.1%)
    White450 (54.6%)152 (20.5%)N/A602 (29.8%)
    African American373 (45.2%)278 (37.6%)453 (100%)1,104 (54.7%)
    HispanicN/A228 (30.8%)N/A228 (11.3%)
    Asian/Pacific Islander2 (0.2%)72 (11.6%)N/A84 (4.2%)
    DM duration (years)10.0 ± 9.410.6 ± 8.48.6 ± 8.89.9 ± 9.0
    BP at target (<130/80 mmHg)431 (52.2%)376 (50.8%)37 (8.2%)844 (41.8%)
    LDL-C at target (<2.6 mmol/L [100 mg/dL])157 (19.0%)353 (47.7%)137 (30.2%)647 (32.1%)
    HbA1c at target (<53.0 mmol/mol [7%])266 (32.2%)378 (50.1%)201 (44.4%)845 (41.9%)
    None (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target228 (27.6%)104 (14.1%)176 (38.9%)508 (25.2%)
    Any one (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target374 (45.3%)267 (36.1%)189 (41.7%)830 (41.1%)
    Any two (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target189 (22.9%)267 (36.1%)78 (17.2%)534 (26.5%)
    All three (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target34 (4.1%)102 (13.8%)10 (2.2%)146 (7.2%)
    Follow-up time (years)14.9 ± 5.67.9 ± 1.48.0 ± 1.410.8 ± 5.1
    Incident CVD (n/1,000 person-years)444 (45.4)105 (24.4)65 (19.1)614 (35.1)
    Incident CHD (n/1,000 person-years)288 (26.9)66 (14.9)24 (6.8)378 (20.3)
    • Continuous variables are presented as the mean ± SD; categorical variables are presented as frequencies (%); incident events were presented as the number of events (event rates). The JHS (n = 3,675) excludes those counted in the ARIC study cohort. Asian/Pacific Islanders are all Chinese American in the MESA and except for two unspecified Asian/Pacific Islanders from the ARIC study. DM duration data were available in 602 ARIC study participants, 457 MESA participants, and 348 JHS participants.

  • Table 2

    Baseline characteristics by BP, LDL-C, HbA1c, and composite (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) targets among subjects with DM from the pooled cohort

    BPLDL-CHbA1cComposite target
    At target (<130/80 mmHg) (N = 844)Not at target (≥130/80 mmHg) (N = 1,174)At target (<2.6 mmol/L [100 mg/dL]) (N = 647)Not at target (≥2.6 mmol/L [100 mg/dL]) (N = 1,371)At target (<53.0 mmol/mol [7%]) (N = 845)Not at target (≥53.0 mmol/mol [7%]) (N = 1,173)At target (N = 146)Not at target (N = 1,872)
    Age, years60.3 ± 8.459.9 ± 10.661.8 ± 10.459.3 ± 9.3§61.3 ± 10.459.3 ± 9.2§62.5 ± 9.459.9 ± 9.8†
    Male386 (45.7%)484 (41.2%)*305 (47.1%)565 (41.2%)*383 (45.3%)487 (41.5%)79 (54.1%)791 (42.3%)†
    African American344 (40.8%)760 (64.7%)§330 (51.0%)774 (56.5%)*434 (51.4%)670 (57.1%)*49 (33.6%)1,055 (56.4%)§
    Current smoker157 (18.6%)147 (12.5%)§95 (14.7%)209 (15.2%)127 (15.0%)177 (15.11)†25 (17.1%)279 (14.9%)*
    Family history of CVD429 (50.8%)619 (52.7%)337 (52.1%)711 (51.8%)434 (51.4%)614 (52.3%)76 (52.1%)972 (51.9%)
    DM duration, years10.6 ± 9.39.4 ± 8.7*10.4 ± 9.59.6 ± 8.7*8.7 ± 9.310.6 ± 8.7‡10.9 ± 10.89.8 ± 8.8
    Systolic BP, mmHg114.0 ± 9.8145.2 ± 17.6§130.5 ± 20.3132.9 ± 21.8*131.4 ± 21.2132.7 ± 21.5113.7 ± 9.8133.6 ± 21.4§
    Diastolic BP, mmHg65.6 ± 7.581.9 ± 12.7§73.6 ± 13.075.8 ± 13.6‡74.9 ± 13.575.2 ± 13.564.6 ± 8.575.9 ± 13.5§
    LDL-C, mmol/L (mg/dL)3.04 ± 0.99 (117.1 ± 37.9)3.18 ± 1.00† (122.3 ± 38.5)2.09 ± 0.39 (80.5 ± 14.9)3.61 ± 0.82§ (138.8 ± 31.1)2.98 ± 0.94 (114.4 ± 36.5)3.24 ± 1.03§ (124.2 ± 39.1)2.05 ± 0.38 (79.2 ± 14.7)3.22 ± 0.99§ (123.3 ± 37.7)
    HDL-C, mmol/L (mg/dL)1.14 ± 0.36 (45.7 ± 14.4)1.18 ± 0.34* (47.2 ± 13.6)1.18 ± 0.38 (47.0 ± 15.1)1.16 ± 0.34 (46.4 ± 13.4)1.20 ± 0.37 (47.9 ± 14.6)1.14.3 ± 0.34§ (45.7 ± 13.5)1.15 ± 0.39 (45.9 ± 15.7)1.17 ± 0.35 (46.7 ± 13.8)
    HbA1c, mmol/mol (%)59.1 ± 15.9 (7.8 ± 2.1)59.1 ± 15.1 (7.8 ± 2.0)56.0 ± 12.9 (7.4 ± 1.7)60.6 ± 15.9§ (8.0 ± 2.1)45.4 ± 3.8 (6.1 ± 0.5)68.1 ± 13.6§ (9.0 ± 1.8)45.4 ± 3.8 (6.1 ± 0.5)59.8 ± 15.1§ (7.9 ± 2.0)
    BMI, kg/m230.8 ± 6.432.5 ± 6.8§31.5 ± 6.731.9 ± 6.731.3 ± 6.732.2 ± 6.7†30.5 ± 6.231.9 ± 6.7*
    Hypertension medication470 (55.7%)868 (73.9%)§457 (70.6%)881 (64.3%)†559 (66.2%)779 (66.4%)87 (59.6%)1,251 (66.8%)
    Antidiabetes medication686 (81.3%)934 (79.6%)545 (84.2%)1,075 (78.4%)‡594 (70.3%)1,026 (87.5%)§113 (77.4%)1,507 (80.5%)
    Lipid-lowering medication202 (23.9%)241 (20.5%)225 (34.8%)218 (15.9%)§197 (23.3%)246 (21.0%)54 (37.0%)389 (20.8%)§
    BP <130/80 mmHg844 (100%)298 (46.1%)546 (39.8%)†356 (42.1%)488 (41.6%)146 (100%)
    LDL-C <2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL)298 (35.3%)349 (29.7%)†647 (100%)318 (37.6%)329 (28.1%)§146 (100%)
    HbA1c <53.0 mmol/mol (7%)356 (42.2%)489 (41.7%)318 (49.2%)527 (38.4%)§845 (100%)146 (100%)
    HDL-C <1.0 mmol/L (40 mg/dL) (male) or <1.3 mmol/L (50 mg/dL) (female)386 (45.7%)589 (50.2%)*304 (47.0%)671 (48.9%)449 (53.1%)526 (44.8%)‡63 (43.2%)912 (48.7%)
    Obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m2)414 (49.1%)729 (62.1%)§368 (56.1%)808 (56.6%)438 (51.8%)705 (60.1%)‡68 (46.6%)1,075 (57.4%)*
    • Continuous variables are expressed as the mean ± SD, and categorical variables are expressed as frequencies (%). BP, LDL-C, HbA1c, and HDL-C cut points are per previously recommended American Diabetes Association targets. DM duration data were available in 602 ARIC study participants, 457 MESA participants, and 348 JHS participants.

    • ↵*P < 0.05, †P < 0.01, ‡P < 0.001, §P < 0.0001 compared with those at target.

  • Table 3

    Adjusted HRs (95% CI) for CVD and CHD events among subjects with DM by status of individual and composite risk factor targets

    Risk factor comparisonIncident CVD eventsIncident CHD events
    HR (95% CI), unadjustedHR (95% CI), adjusted for covariatesHR (95% CI), adjusted for propensity scoreHR (95% CI), unadjustedHR (95% CI), adjusted for covariatesHR (95% CI), adjusted for propensity score
    Individual risk factor controlled
     BP <130/80 mmHg vs. BP ≥130/80 mmHg0.81 (0.69–0.95)*0.83 (0.70–0.98)*0.81 (0.68–0.96)*0.86 (0.70–1.05)0.83 (0.67–1.02)0.78 (0.63–0.97)*
     LDL-C <2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL) vs. LDL-C ≥2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL)0.71 (0.58–0.86)‡0.67 (0.54–0.82)§0.71 (0.58–0.87)‡0.64 (0.49–0.83)‡0.59 (0.45–0.77)‡0.62 (0.48–0.81)‡
     HbA1c <53.0 mmol/mol (7%) vs. HbA1c ≥53.0 mmol/mol (7%)0.64 (0.54–0.76)§0.63 (0.53–0.76)§0.70 (0.58–0.84)§0.68 (0.54–0.84)‡0.64 (0.51–0.81)‡0.74 (0.59–0.93)*
    Number of risk factors at target
     Any one (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target vs. none at target0.67 (0.56–0.80)§0.64 (0.53–0.77)§0.65 (0.54–0.78)§0.65 (0.52–0.82)‡0.59 (0.47–0.75)§0.60 (0.47–0.76)§
     Any two (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target vs. none at target0.52 (0.41–0.64)§0.48 (0.38–0.61)§0.47 (0.38–0.60)§0.51 (0.38–0.68)§0.44 (0.33–0.59)§0.42 (0.32–0.57)§
     All three (BP, LDL-C, HbA1c) at target vs. none at target0.46 (0.30–0.69)‡0.38 (0.25–0.58)§0.41 (0.27–0.62)§0.53 (0.32–0.88)*0.40 (0.24–0.67)‡0.41 (0.25–0.70)‡
    • Covariates include age, sex, ethnicity, smoking status, HDL-C, BMI, family history of premature CVD, hypertension medication, antidiabetes and lipid-lowering medication (also include LDL-C and HbA1c for BP analysis; systolic/diastolic BP and HbA1c for LDL-C analysis; LDL-C and systolic/diastolic BP for HbA1c analysis).

    • ↵*P < 0.05, ‡P < 0.001, §P < 0.0001.

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Cardiovascular Risk Factor Targets and Cardiovascular Disease Event Risk in Diabetes: A Pooling Project of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Jackson Heart Study
Nathan D. Wong, Yanglu Zhao, Rohini Patel, Christopher Patao, Shaista Malik, Alain G. Bertoni, Adolfo Correa, Aaron R. Folsom, Sumesh Kachroo, Jayanti Mukherjee, Herman Taylor, Elizabeth Selvin
Diabetes Care May 2016, 39 (5) 668-676; DOI: 10.2337/dc15-2439

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Cardiovascular Risk Factor Targets and Cardiovascular Disease Event Risk in Diabetes: A Pooling Project of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Jackson Heart Study
Nathan D. Wong, Yanglu Zhao, Rohini Patel, Christopher Patao, Shaista Malik, Alain G. Bertoni, Adolfo Correa, Aaron R. Folsom, Sumesh Kachroo, Jayanti Mukherjee, Herman Taylor, Elizabeth Selvin
Diabetes Care May 2016, 39 (5) 668-676; DOI: 10.2337/dc15-2439
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