OBJECTIVE Circulating N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a classic diagnostic and prognostic marker for heart failure. However, it is inversely associated with diabetes risk. We aimed to investigate relationships of NT-proBNP with risk of diabetes-related complications in initially healthy individuals.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We performed a case-cohort study within the European Prospective Investigation Into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-Potsdam cohort including a random subcohort (n = 1,294) and incident cases of type 2 diabetes (n = 649) and cardiovascular diseases (n = 478). Incident cases of type 2 diabetes (n = 545) were followed up for microvascular (n = 133) and macrovascular (n = 50) complications. Plasma NT-proBNP was measured at baseline in initially healthy participants.

RESULTS In multivariable models, NT-proBNP was linearly inversely associated with incident type 2 diabetes with a hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) per doubling in NT-proBNP of 0.91 (0.86, 0.98). The association was only observable in women (0.80; 0.72, 0.90) compared with men (0.98; 0.91, 1.07). Among people with incident diabetes, NT-proBNP was positively associated with diabetes complications: overall, 1.31 (1.13, 1.53); microvascular complications, 1.20 (1.01, 1.43); and macrovascular complications, 1.37 (1.03, 1.83).

CONCLUSIONS Although higher NT-proBNP levels are associated with lower diabetes risk, NT-proBNP is a biomarker for vascular complications in people who develop diabetes independent of potential confounders. Thus, NT-proBNP might be informative to monitor risk for diabetes-related microvascular and macrovascular complications, which should be further explored in future prospective studies.