Table 4—

Significant predictors of any 1996 event, numerical score, and prevalence of predictor for the derivation sample (restricted to subjects without prior events or related outpatient diagnoses and serum creatinine <2.0 mg/dl)

PredictorOR*Numerical scorePrevalence of predictor (%)
Elevated serum creatinine (mg/dl)
 1.0–1.31.40117.2
 1.3–1.51.5113.1
 1.5–2.02.66§33.6
Use of one antihypertensive medication1.45§130.3
Use of ≥2 antihypertensive medications1.71§231.2
Use of insulin only1.51§225.6
Emergency visit (1994–1995)1.36144.1
≥7 Primary care visits: (1994–1995)1.36120.8
Current cigarette smoker1.4918.7
≥7 Ambulatory specialist visits1.30124.7
Elevated HbAlc (>10%)1.30118.3
Albuminuria (micro- or macro-)
 Present1.32118.5
 Missing1.42134.7
  • *

    * Odds ratios use the same referent groups as in Table 2;

  • P < 0.01;

  • P < 0.05;

  • P < 0.0001.