Table 4—

AUC for various models for incident CHD with regard to nontraditional risk factors and subclinical disease markers: the ARIC study, 1987–1998

ModelWomen
Men
DiabetesNo diabetesDiabetesNo diabetes
n6876,3965504,489
No. of events92206125506
Basic*0.7090.7790.6820.680
Basic + nontraditional risk factors + subclinical disease markers0.7760.7920.7630.716
  • Participants missing data on any of the risk factors or markers shown were excluded to ensure comparability of areas under the ROC curve.

  • * Basic model includes age, race, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medication, and smoking status.

  • Basic risk factors plus BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, lipoprotein (a), albumin, creatinine, fibrinogen, factor VIII, WBC, Keys score, sport activity index, LVH, and IMT (continuous).