Table 4—

Metabolic syndrome as a predictor of subsequent CVD in elderly subjects

ATPIII-defined metabolic syndrome
WHO-defined metabolic syndrome
HR95% CIPAUCHR95% CIPAUC
Model 11.901.60–2.260.00010.571.891.57–2.280.00010.56
Model 22.121.77–2.520.00010.701.641.36–1.980.00010.68
Model 32.041.69–2.460.00010.711.631.33–2.010.00010.71
Model 41.381.07–1.790.010.741.150.88–1.500.320.74
  • Independent variables included in the models are as follows: model 1: metabolic syndrome only; model 2: metabolic syndrome, age, and sex; model 3: metabolic syndrome, age, sex, family history of myocardial infarction, current smoking, and LDL cholesterol; model 4: metabolic syndrome, age, sex, family history of myocardial infarction, current smoking, LDL cholesterol, and individual components of the metabolic syndrome. HRs and 95% CIs analyzed by Cox regression analysis. AUC determined by logistic regression analysis.