Table 1—

Forecasts of the prevalence and number of people with diagnosed diabetes by age-group and selected years

Age-group (in years)
All ages
0–1920–4445–6465–74≥75
2005
    Prevalence (%)0.332.3910.1218.3415.995.62
    n*0.262.387.263.402.8816.18
    95% CI(0.22–0.30)(2.27–2.49)(6.98–7.53)(3.28–3.52)(2.74–3.02)(15.59–16.75)
2010
    Prevalence (%)0.412.9111.6020.6818.936.84
    n*0.332.909.304.383.6220.52
    95% CI(0.25–0.41)(2.72–3.08)(8.90–9.70)(4.20–4.56)(3.38–3.86)(19.75–21.32)
2020
    Prevalence (%)0.463.5914.5223.3224.208.88
    n*0.383.7711.777.315.6028.84
    95% CI(0.25–0.55)(3.43–4.13)(11.05–12.48)(6.90–7.73)(5.16–6.05)(27.35–30.38)
2030
    Prevalence (%)0.474.0015.9025.9627.6910.38
    n*0.424.4112.409.829.3536.41
    95% CI(0.27–0.61)(3.96–4.92)(11.57–13.21)(9.20–10.44)(8.63–10.08)(34.23–38.63)
2040
    Prevalence (%)0.474.0716.7228.7030.3211.35
    n*0.464.6914.279.6313.7142.76
    95% CI(0.30–0.66)(4.16–5.29)(13.30–15.25)(9.03–10.24)(12.61–14.83)(40.02–45.54)
2050
    Prevalence (%)0.484.1817.7630.1032.6912.00
    n*0.505.1915.9010.8815.8148.28
    95% CI(0.32–0.73)(4.59–5.87)(14.79–17.00)(10.22–11.58)(14.47–17.17)(45.05–51.53)
% change 2005–2050
    Prevalence (%)45757564104114
    n*92118119220449198
  • *

    * Forecast of the number of individuals diagnosed with diabetes (in millions).