Table 3

CDM estimates of changes in life expectancy and health care costs per patient related to Hurricane Katrina

EffectSDPExtrapolated cost (US$)*−10% variation (US$)+10% variation (US$)
MCLNO (20%)
    Life expectancy (year)−0.3010.552<0.0001
    QALE−0.2420.431<0.0001
    Direct cost3,5026,391<0.000162,160,69955,944,62968,376,769
    Indirect cost1,7413,250<0.000130,902,84927,812,56433,993,134
    Total cost5,2438,664<0.000193,063,54883,757,193102,369,903
TUHC (75%)
    Life expectancy (year)−0.0780.455<0.0001
    QALE−0.070.354<0.0001
    Direct cost1,8405,354<0.0001122,475,392110,227,853134,722,931
    Indirect cost4302,682<0.000128,621,96725,759,77031,484,163
    Total cost2,2706,927<0.0001151,097,359135,987,623166,207,094
VA (5%)
    Life expectancy (year)−0.2640.483<0.0001
    QALE−1.2080.371<0.0001
    Direct cost2,6835,423<0.0001178,587,759160,728,983196,446,535
    Indirect cost1,2242,850<0.000181,472,76173,325,48589,620,037
    Total cost3,9077,201<0.0001260,060,520234,054,468286,066,572
    Population cost504,221,426453,799,283554,643,569